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Index » Radio Paradise/General » General Discussion » USA! USA! USA! Page: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5  Next
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KurtfromLaQuinta

KurtfromLaQuinta Avatar

Location: Really deep in the heart of South California
Gender: Male


Posted: Jan 29, 2023 - 9:07pm

 kurtster wrote:

China already has us over a barrel with pharmaceuticals.  When you consider what Taiwan is to microchips, they would have a stranglehold on technology in the West. Our chip industry is still several years at least from being functional enough to just fill in the gaps.  China's economy is crumbling.  I'm thinking that Xi is beginning to get desperate.

Putin has got oil and is still selling it keeping his coffers lined in spite of all the blowback.  He has what everyone still needs.  Putin's biggest risk is from the inside, not from us, the West in general.  Same with Xi.  Xi could take Taiwan without much fuss by using a simple naval blockade and starving them into submission.  How would the West deal with a naval blockade without open warfare ?

I'm not going to fret over this much, but I'll be watching it.
Taiwan air drop?


kurtster

kurtster Avatar

Location: where fear is not a virtue
Gender: Male


Posted: Jan 29, 2023 - 7:56pm

 KurtfromLaQuinta wrote:
I can't see China pulling a stunt like this.
They need us to keep floating their economy with all their exports.
And for now, we need those stupid imports to keep us going.
Without our money... their economy would collapse.
 
China already has us over a barrel with pharmaceuticals.  When you consider what Taiwan is to microchips, they would have a stranglehold on technology in the West. Our chip industry is still several years at least from being functional enough to just fill in the gaps.  China's economy is crumbling.  I'm thinking that Xi is beginning to get desperate.

Putin has got oil and is still selling it keeping his coffers lined in spite of all the blowback.  He has what everyone still needs.  Putin's biggest risk is from the inside, not from us, the West in general.  Same with Xi.  Xi could take Taiwan without much fuss by using a simple naval blockade and starving them into submission.  How would the West deal with a naval blockade without open warfare ?

I'm not going to fret over this much, but I'll be watching it.
KurtfromLaQuinta

KurtfromLaQuinta Avatar

Location: Really deep in the heart of South California
Gender: Male


Posted: Jan 29, 2023 - 7:33pm

 kurtster wrote:

I saw that.  It was presented that Xi would most likely move on Taiwan right after the 2024 presidential elections in Taiwan and the USA when things are most vulnerable due to the usual chaos that comes with these kinds of elections.  This general is in charge of an airlift division IIRC and has some strategic insight based on that.  The DOD also was quick to say that it does not share his conclusions.

This while we deplete are materiel in Ukraine and our strategic oil reserves.  In addition, our military is more concerned about being woke than combat ready.  We are probably now the least prepared for a major war since the end of Nam.

Sounds too reasonable to ignore to me.  I'm not saying it will happen but to pretend it can't or won't would be foolish.
I can't see China pulling a stunt like this.
They need us to keep floating their economy with all their exports.
And for now, we need those stupid imports to keep us going.
Without our money... their economy would collapse.


kurtster

kurtster Avatar

Location: where fear is not a virtue
Gender: Male


Posted: Jan 29, 2023 - 7:26pm

 R_P wrote:
China could be at war with the United States two years from now, a top Air Force general predicted in a bombastic and unusual memo to troops under his command, asserting a significantly shorter timeline before potential conflict than any other senior U.S. defense official to date.
 
I saw that.  It was presented that Xi would most likely move on Taiwan right after the 2024 presidential elections in Taiwan and the USA when things are most vulnerable due to the usual chaos that comes with these kinds of elections.  This general is in charge of an airlift division IIRC and has some strategic insight based on that.  The DOD also was quick to say that it does not share his conclusions.

This while we deplete are materiel in Ukraine and our strategic oil reserves.  In addition, our military is more concerned about being woke than combat ready.  We are probably now the least prepared for a major war since the end of Nam.

Sounds too reasonable to ignore to me.  I'm not saying it will happen but to pretend it can't or won't would be foolish.
R_P

R_P Avatar



Posted: Jan 29, 2023 - 3:01pm

China could be at war with the United States two years from now, a top Air Force general predicted in a bombastic and unusual memo to troops under his command, asserting a significantly shorter timeline before potential conflict than any other senior U.S. defense official to date.

R_P

R_P Avatar



Posted: Jan 24, 2023 - 11:30am

Get off my lawn!
Monroe Doctrine Redux: US Military Trying to “Box Out” China and Russia from Strategic Resources in Latin America
R_P

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Posted: Jan 16, 2023 - 9:03am

Even AI Is Suspicious of the Military-Industrial Complex
Asking a leading question of the computer gods
R_P

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Posted: Jan 14, 2023 - 10:22am


R_P

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Posted: Jan 13, 2023 - 2:52pm


R_P

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Posted: Jan 13, 2023 - 8:52am

 miamizsun wrote:
from an individual point of view, i find it pretty consistent that given a choice the vast majority of people would choose to live in a liberal democracy

Well duh.

The Global War on Authoritarianism™
miamizsun

miamizsun Avatar

Location: (3261.3 Miles SE of RP)
Gender: Male


Posted: Jan 13, 2023 - 4:25am

 R_P wrote:

Looks like you will have your coercive work cut out for you (when you're not turning a blind eye that is), Mr. World Police.


i think that's a really misguided position to take regarding my thought process
why?

i've got what? 10? 15? 20 years or so in the anti-war thread (and others) strongly criticizing the usa's foreign policy
from a principled perspective and you know this
also, i didn't expect you to answer that question in a straight forward manner
from an individual point of view, i find it pretty consistent that given a choice the vast majority of people would choose to live in a liberal democracy
peace

R_P

R_P Avatar



Posted: Jan 11, 2023 - 1:08pm

 miamizsun wrote:
liberal democracies versus authoritarianism/dictators?

Looks like you will have your coercive work cut out for you (when you're not turning a blind eye that is), Mr. World Police.
miamizsun

miamizsun Avatar

Location: (3261.3 Miles SE of RP)
Gender: Male


Posted: Jan 11, 2023 - 5:19am

 ColdMiser wrote:

I've always felt that the long term solution to the immigration issue is to get to the root of why folks are uprooting themselves and their families and heading to somewhere else (US, Europe wherever). I imagine the majority of these people would rather stay where they are if conditions were more favorable.  How you go about changing the conditions is the challenge. 



there's a ton of reasons why people move
it probably boils down to freedom of choice/quality of life/opportunity
i have a pakistani neighbor who has indicated things like rule of law/safety for family/opportunity and education for his daughters
of course i'm paraphrasing
people when allowed usually vote with their feet and their money
liberal democracies have certainly benefitted from productive and talented people moving to their countries/systems
we need to streamline/simplify our immigration framework/policy
the brain drain could be mitigated by economic opportunity and the proper tools
probably post a video regarding how AI will help change some of this
hopefully in a good way

ColdMiser

ColdMiser Avatar

Location: On the Trail
Gender: Male


Posted: Jan 11, 2023 - 5:02am

 miamizsun wrote:


what do you think the people fleeing/escaping are saying?
are they blaming sanctions or extreme government brutality/control?
given a choice it looks like people are choosing to live where they have more personal freedom/basic human rights
liberal democracies versus authoritarianism/dictators?
ask yourself where would you choose to live?

I've always felt that the long term solution to the immigration issue is to get to the root of why folks are uprooting themselves and their families and heading to somewhere else (US, Europe wherever). I imagine the majority of these people would rather stay where they are if conditions were more favorable.  How you go about changing the conditions is the challenge. 

miamizsun

miamizsun Avatar

Location: (3261.3 Miles SE of RP)
Gender: Male


Posted: Jan 11, 2023 - 4:38am

 R_P wrote:

what do you think the people fleeing/escaping are saying?
are they blaming sanctions or extreme government brutality/control?
given a choice it looks like people are choosing to live where they have more personal freedom/basic human rights
liberal democracies versus authoritarianism/dictators?
ask yourself where would you choose to live?
R_P

R_P Avatar



Posted: Jan 10, 2023 - 7:26pm

China and the US are locked in a cold war. We must win it. Here's how we will
westslope

westslope Avatar

Location: BC sage brush steppe


Posted: Jan 9, 2023 - 1:37pm

 R_P wrote:


National Security Adviser John Bolton on Thursday branded Cuba, Venezuela and Nicaragua a “troika of tyranny” and announced new measures against the socialist countries — promising they “will feel the full weight of America’s robust sanctions regime.”

——————————————————

So, in other words, the objective of Bolton is no regime change?   Or do the sanctions have some other objective?  

I ask because US economic and financial sanctions in the post-war period have been utterly ineffective.    US top-down regime change has been more successful as American voters appear to enjoy blood baths.  

R_P

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Posted: Jan 9, 2023 - 12:47pm

What Do Think Tanks Think? Proximity to Power and Foreign Policy Preferences
R_P

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Posted: Jan 8, 2023 - 12:32pm

 miamizsun wrote:

why?


Bolton brands Cuba, Venezuela, Nicaragua a ‘troika of tyranny’ in sanctions rollout (2018)

Too near/close to bomb them for regime change?
islander

islander Avatar

Location: Seattle
Gender: Male


Posted: Jan 8, 2023 - 8:59am

 miamizsun wrote:

record number fleeing authoritarian countries for the USA?
why?

Migrants from Cuba, Venezuela and Nicaragua processed in record numbers at U.S. border in 2022


Officials along the U.S.-Mexico border processed Cubans, Venezuelans and Nicaraguans 572,500 times in fiscal year 2022, a tally that eclipsed the number of migrants from Guatemala, Honduras and El Salvador who entered U.S. immigration custody during that period, newly released government statistics show.

Historically, citizens of Guatemala, Honduras and El Salvador, collectively known as Central America's Northern Triangle, have made up the bulk of migrants processed along the U.S. southern border, alongside Mexican migrants. But that trend was upended over the past year with the arrival of record numbers of people from Cuba, Venezuela, Nicaragua and other countries, including Colombia and Haiti.

The seismic demographic change has posed significant operational challenges for the Biden administration. On one hand, the authoritarian regimes in Cuba, Venezuela, Nicaragua have severely limited or rejected U.S. deportations of their citizens, while Mexican officials have generally refused to accept the return of migrants who are not from Mexico or the Northern Triangle.








Yes, although especially with Venezuela and Nicaragua, I wouldn't say they are authoritarian as much as simply failed states (and I'd even say failed due to some of our own influences) where authoritarians have stepped into a power vacuum as they are want to do.   I'd also say this is a cautionary tale for a land that spent days negotiating with nutjobs to elect a speaker of the house. 
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